Poll – So, last week the final running order of the Semi Final’s were revealed by the EBU and NTU.
Here we will begin to predict who we think will qualify from the first semi final from what we know about the song production and artist.
When the rehearsals start up in the first week of May we will do another poll to see if opinions change based on the Eurovision Staging and choreography. Those in the first semi final are:
To vote, please select this link and select the ten countries you think will join the big five and host country in the Grand Final. I will release the results during the week and the poll for Semi Final 2 will go up next weekend.
The Eurovision Times 
Qualifiers of semi 1
Sweden
Australia
Albania
Belgium
Finland
Azerbaijan
Portugal
Greece (I prefer Cyprus)
Poland ( I prefer Czech Republic)
Armenia
Slovenia’s official video:
The verses are better (I didn’t expect it), the chorus is worse. My biggest problem is him, not the song.
Current betting odds (To qualify) :
1. SWE
2. ARM
3. AUS
3. GRC
3. BEL
6. AZE
7. PRT
8. LVA
9. FIN
10. MDA
11. POL
11. CYP
13. ISL
14. GEO
15. SVN
16. MNE
17. ALB
17. CZE
I decided to include all 10 but MDA in the poll. I believe POL will be in instead!
It’s a difficult one, but I will give it a try.
Will most likely qualify:
Sweden, Belgium, Finland, Azerbaijan, Portugal, Cyprus, Armenia, Latvia
Will probably not:
Albania, Montenegro, Moldova, Slovenia
Unsure about (two of these should be in then):
Georgia, Australia, Greece, Poland, Iceland, Czech Republic
I will give all the hope that I have to Czech Republic which is a song I really like. A beautiful classic singer/songwriter ballad, but I am worried :-(
I love Martina and her song, but I do not think it will qualify atm. Waiting for the rehearsals.
I put Czechia in. :)
We can only hope…
Give me Czech Rep. over the highly overrated rubbish from Poland. Kasia might be lovely and have a good voice but the song is dire. It goes nowhere even with all her vocal acrobatics and leaves me cold. Same with Greece, an utterly mediocre and generic song for such a talent as Demy, Give me Cyprus any day over that drivel. I really hope Poland and Greece miss the final this year.
I don’t like the Polish and Greek songs either. But they are more Eurovisin’ish that Czech Republic, so they may well quaify.
Tell me about it. ESC by numbers….yawn!
(*than Czech Republic)
I went for these 10 songs:
Sweden, Australia, Belgium, Azerbaijan, Portugal, Greece, Poland, Moldova, Cyprus and Armenia.
Sweden, Australia, Belgium, Azerbaijan and Armenia will most probably all be in the final.
These were the 10 I thought would qualify: Sweden, Australia, Belgium, Finland, Azerbaijan, Portugal, Greece (boo), Poland, Moldova, and Armenia.
However, I could see Moldova, Finland and (unfortunately) Portugal failing to qualify. Maybe to be replaced with Cyprus, Latvia, or Iceland.
So btw as most of you know I did a kinda statistic game last year called ”The Aftermath”, where we all gave our top 10 of the season and mashed it up into an official ET ranking. I promise you this year I am bit more prepared and it will probably be held in September. I wanted to create a distinctive period of time after ESC as to give people time to process the outcome and give me a ranking that is far less influenced by the result of this years contest. Another reason is that after the contest the Fridas is right around the corner and after that the ETSC editions are held, so in conclusion there wasn’t that much space to play with.
Now a bird came and told me that maybe it would be fun and interesting to do a ”Premath”, where we all here on ET give our official pre top 10s of this years contest. It will then be interesting to see the difference between the Pre and Aftermath to see which act failed/succeded the most according to us.
Now we do have TEKO of course, so thats why I was a bit reluctant to the idea at first, but TEKO is a bit more luck based and some generally good acts usually fail early, because of the random draw. The pre-Math will probably give us a very different result then in TEKO and maybe even give us a different winner :O
So if you are interested, please give me some feedback on it. Its much appreciated ^-^
Off topic btw ehe
Sure!It’s an interesting idea the before and after the contest rankings.
I’m in!!!
Premath, Aftermath . BRING IT ON!
I would very much like to do both a pre- and an aftermath voting. Just go ahead :-)
I am in too. :)
Count me in. :)
This sounds good fun!
Love this idea. Yes please :)
Bold prediction in no specific order:
Sweden, Australia, Belgium, Azerbaijan, Portugal, Greece, Poland, Moldova, Armenia and Latvia
Moldova and Latvia are the ones that could be replaced by other songs (Finland and Iceland first and foremost in that case methinks).
Also Belgium’s qualification can be very tricky if the live doesn’t work
Definite qualifiers:
SWE, AUS, BEL, AZE, PRT, GRC, ARM, LVA
Definite non-qualifiers:
GEO, ALB, MNE, CZE, SVN
Borderlines:
FIN, POL, MDA, ISL, CYP
For an unknown reason FYROM has fallen at #9 in qualification betting odds from semi2. Has there been a live rendition yet?
To be fair Macedonia doesn’t usually do that well so perhaps Serbia is being seen as cancelling it out?
Thing is FYROM started as #3…
Quite a tumble then. Once those rehearsals start I think things will become much clearer plus there’s always a couple in the bookies ratings that end up wrong. Am still hopeful Macedonia will make it.
Blanche is so sweet and lovely and very shy.The live performance will be inspired by the video:
I was just watching him.lol
I went for these songs:
1. Sweden
2. Azerbaijan
3. Australia
4. Greece
5. Belgium
6. Portugal
7. Moldova
8. Finland
9. Georgia
10. Armenia
This is top 10 of the LEGEND, Danijela from Slovenia for 2017:
1 point – Montenegro
2 points – Israel
3 points – Switzerland
4 points – Serbia
5 points – Greece
6 points – Latvia
7 points – Denmark
8 points – Macedonia
10 points – Estonia
12 points – Belgium
GOSH, this legend is the epitome of ESC! :P :D
Who is Danijela? :P
Are you feakin’ serious that you don’t know the LEGEND Danijela from Slovenia????? :O
https://www.youtube.com/user/ESCpromotion/videos
I’ve watched her review of ‘Amar pelos dois’; the legend was not amused. :)
Hahahahaha yes, she doesn’t like it, Portugal will not be one of her FEJVORITES in Kyiv! The last time she voted for Portugal was when Suzy represented it.. :P
That says it all! lol ua, ua, uê, ua, uê…
😂😂😂😂
She’s really, how do I put this….. unusual! Bless, she’s enjoying herself though. Good for her.
I prefer Natalia Anderson on Tuneful TV Reaction and Review (Thank you Togravus for introducing me to her) She’s so critically constructive and positive, I really enjoy her :)
I totally adore her because she is such a cheery lady. :) I even enjoy watching her reaction and review clips if I don’t agree at all, like Greece f. e. She’s the perfect embodiment of ESC spirit imo, sort of the Marianne of ESC. :)
100% Agreed. I asked her if she was going to watch the rehearsals (would love to see her reactions on those for sure) but she doesn’t think she will so as not to ruin the surprise element but on reflection she said she may do after the event to see how things came together. We’ll see.
She really is so down to earth. :)
And she was so relieved when Greece turned out not be another female ballad after all. LOL
Funny, she gave me the impetus to look at Greece from her perspective. While I still am not that enamoured, I can see where perhaps viewers may align themselves to it, providing it is delivered well of course and doesn’t go all Cascada!
Cascada is what Demy’s entry reminds me of too.
1. Sweden
2. Azerbaijan
3. Australia
4. Greece
5. Belgium
6. Portugal
7. Cyprus
8. Finland
9. Poland
10. Armenia
.
Dark Horses
Moldova
Latvia.
Albania
Iceland
.
Sure Non Qualifiers
.
Montenegro
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Georgia
I can’t vote, I’m confused. :(
The 10 countries I think will qualify:
SWE, BEL, AUS, AZE, POR, GRC, ARM, LVA, MDA & POL.
This is certainly the tougher of two semi-finals this year, as I personally like 11 of these to qualify. I could see Europe replacing Moldova and Poland with Finland and Montenegro as the surprise act of this contest, similar to SMR 2014!
If I would choose my qualifiers:
SWE, BEL, AUS, AZE, GRC, ARM, POR, LVA, FIN & ICE (+ MDA).
There’s something about Iceland which baffles me. A favourite when it was selected and now hardly anyone mentions it as their qualifier. Similarly, Poland was creating some buzz in the beginning and now they’ve both turned from a lush Camembert to moulded cheddars
*sad face*
well Iceland is facing tough competition in its own genre with Belgium and Azerbaijan which people think will do better (without having seen their lives) to Slava’s live (which is weak and old esc)
Quite late about this but here is my evaluation:
DEFO IN: AUS, AZR, BEL, ARM, POR, SWE – support from both sets of votes; Portugal might struggle a bit with the televote but it will still be among the top10.
Most likely IN: GRE, FIN, LAT.
Borderline: CYP, POL, ISL.
Most likely OUT: GEO, CZR only the juries will support them. MDA
Dead: ALB, MNE (it will not be bottom3 though), SLO (most likely last).
There is only one change prior to the formation of the running order. Latvia went from borderline to most likely in.
Strict top10 prediction is like this – no order:
AUS
AZR
BEL
ARM
POR
SWE
GRE
FIN
LAT
POL
That’s what I predict too. MDA out, POL in but it’s all borderline among LVA, MDA, POL.
In other news : AUS is now leading semi 1 qualification odds :o
FYROM dropped at #11 in semi 2
Ι Only swapped LAT with ISL only because the latter is not receiving strong support anywhere.
What do you think of Cyprus? Borderline as well?
I don’t like the song and I’m doubtful regarding his charisma. However, I won’t write Cyprus off. Genre-wise it has chances. Given the good draw and with a memorable stage show it could go through
I don’t understand why they are degrading FYRoM already. I knwo she doesn’t have the best vocals but this doesn’t mean she will be DEFO ugly in May. They should have waited until rehearsals commence.
Having to go through a bucketload of performances and interviews at the London party left me little time for this poll till now..
At the end of the day I think this semi will be easier to predict than the other one especially after we get to see the rehearsals.
So in order of appearance :
Certain Q : Sweden, Belgium, Azerbaijan, Greece, Poland
Likely Q : Australia, Moldova, Armenia
Borderline : Georgia, Finland, Iceland, Latvia
Most likely out : Albania, Montenegro, Portugal, Cyprus
Certainly out : Czech Republic, Slovenia
So on first sight it seems to be a game of 4 countries for 2 places. I kind of have a bad feeling for Iceland unfortunately while I am quite optimistic about Finland.
I didn’t vote for who I think will qualify, far too early for that and with no real indication from not having seen any rehearsals yet. Most people are thinking the same bunch of songs anyhow without much variation (and people moan about OGAE votes ROFL) So I’m voting for who I want to qualify.
Swe, Aus, Bel, Fin, Aze, Por, Cze, Mol, Cyp, Arm,
Sadly, Greece and Poland and Latvia (who I expect to improve live) will more than likely make it whilst Cze, Cyp and Mol may miss out. I also think Bel could be a shock non-qualifier though I hope not.