ETSC 17: Prediction Game

ETSC – The latest edition is coming to an end! Our traditional summer Eurovision-like game to feature and introduce new music has almost finished its July edition ! 39 of you entered and the results are coming this weekend!

After a first round open for people to sign up with a country and send a song, we got 39 people in. In the meantime, to keep us busy, I made a random draw. I also made personal postcards for each entry which will be revealed along with the songs. Everyone can request to see their own postcards for now.

These songs were presented by the following HoDs, in alphabetical order: Anders, Arpatilaos, Avat, Bay, Caolán, Daniel, David, Dimitris, Dino, Dominik, Donnie,  Elmar, Franco, Gregor, Guitar, Hjallis, Lina, Luke, Mark8, Matt D, Matthew, Mermaid, Michos, Nick P, Oasisoffear, Ovidarch, Oxi, Pablo, Patrick P, PJ, Porsteinn, Razvan, Ren, Sekhmet Morgan, Sheldon, Shevek, Trekks, Valen and Xello!

I’m coming back home tomorrow. I’ll make the scoreboards between then and Friday so we can have result night whenever is best for most people during the weekend, letting us open registration for August early next week! In the meantime, we get to gossip and predict, and discuss songs more openly as nothing more is at stake. Will I drop many hints this year?

Now time for the prediction game! It was first started in ETSC 4 “hint” article and back then I wrote this: “We can play a guessing game, people wishing to participate can post a “prediction” top 10 and I’ll award points based on the countries that are in the actual top 10 and predicted in yours accorddingly. I wont reveal the results until after the voting and winner is announced, but we’d get an extra side bet to care about ;)” In the end, it has secured itself has an ETSC standard: former winners were Donnie (ETSC 4), Nick P (ETSC 5), Donnie (ETSC 6), Dimitris (ETSC 7), Gregor (ETSC 8), Razvan (ETSC 9), Razvan (ETSC 10), Donnie (ETSC 11) and after a very close battle Razvan again (ETSC 12)! In July 2020, Patrick P won his first prediction game with a record of 12 HoD guessed right and the August edition was won by Donnie even though Ovi got the bonus! In July 2021, Donnie won discovering the rightful winner and in August 2021, he won it again but three people had the bonus: Donnie, Dominik and Ovi while both Oxi and Patrick got 8/10 prediction resultswise!

Let’s do it again. Until the reveal begin, you can send me a top 10 prediction in order (since most people predict the same songs after a while, and because the period is longer than usual for the predictiong ame, with absentee publishing their Top favorites, we might as well do it this way). You can still hint at your predictions (“top 3 from different regions”, “a country that never had a Top 5 before” and stuff like that). However, you also need to send me your HoD predictions but these can be posted in the comments as well

  • You get 10pts per HoD correct for the first 10 HoD, then it’s 20pts for each HoD guessed correctly for the next 5. 100pts are given for each afterwards!
  • Predicting the correct winner gives you automatically 100pts.
  • Each country you predicted correctly in the Top 10 (besides the points won for guessing the correct winner in which case it would count twice) will give you 50pts, with a bonus of 500pts for the entire Top 10!
  • Anyone who would either guess the full Top 10 or the full HoD list would automatically win, regardless of the points.

I will reveal “bookies” Top 10 before we start with the votes, but not before: it’s a compromise as it means we won’t know for “a long time” what the overall predictions are, so it doesnt kill the fun or some HoD’s enthusiasm, even though we have gotten it wrong many times, our added predictions make for a rather relevant picture (usually)…

I’ll award points accordingly and announce the winner along with the revealing of ETSC 18 logo! Don’t forget to email it to me before next week-end! Even if you’re not participating in ETSC 17, you can play this game! This is a second crown to grab, good luck everyone!

501 thoughts on “ETSC 17: Prediction Game

  1. whether it matters here or not?, and my votes would go to:
    12 points France
    10 points Lebanon
    8 points Algeria
    7 points Finland
    6 points Latvia
    5 points Germany
    4 points Denmark
    3 pts Sweden
    2 points UK
    1 point Norway

          • so sorry PJ for your one point :-), I tried to award my points as an independent voice here listenig to all the songs here, tbh it was very difficult as all the songs had real potential but good news is made me interested in other arists/songs :-)

            • Hey… don’t feel sorry, I didn’t say you awarded me 1 point… I was speaking in general terms…
              With 39 people voting + the demoscopic jury (as Dino said) it’s already an achievement to be in somenoe’s Top 10 😁😁😁

            • ok, sounds good via above! and I thank you for your messages and organising voting re ESC song contests (especially in Portugal) after so much time here :-)

        • We reached a a new front, that’s what happened. Whatever people comment gets CIA examination. We either need to get new accounts or stop commenting altogether.

            • But what I am trying to say is that blind and the extra ranking of prediction game has brushed the main purpose of the game aside.

            • I get that, though most ETSC players only care for music and only vote for songs and dont participate in more. We already had polls about changes, and none was voted, meaning people are inclined – for now – to keep things as they are. I feel like (but it’s maybe just my personal and very bias view) VFoS is more about songs (as its title implies) whereas ETSC in its title is about ET first, us, the community, the gang that comes together for this.

            • Blind isn’t a big issue, but prediction trophy maybe. Promo’s are getting shorter or non-existent as time goes by because people feel the pressure of being revealed by someone.

            • I see your point… maybe you’re having that feeling also because this edition took more time than usual, due to Morgan’s shedule… I’m sure next edition will be faster.

          • That’s a bit over dramatic don’t you think? I do the most commenting around here and still play it blind successfully (most of the times). I even did promo (or maybe I didn’t) :P
            If people needed changes they would have voted for them. Maybe we should respect what people really enjoy here and not try to turn everything into VFOS which I enjoy equally for other reasons. If my innocent comment hurt your feelings I apologize but the way you answered back was no good either.

  2. First rain since mid-June tonight. I drove to Mühlacker today, and the Swabian countryside lokked like the Campo Charro …

  3. predictions have been sent!! i gave it my best shot for HoDs and results, so what i’ll end up lacking in accuracy i’ll hopefully make up for in breadth of guessing lol

      • ? I guess in the end why UK song 2022 got to number 2 in the charts= in the end who cares tbh?
        song in UK became an evergreen

      • I don’t find it weird. It’s more of a radio song than a big stage one. It does sound like it comes from her heart, though and I like it. It’s also good for esc the success stories of artists who don’t even come close to winning.

  4. benidorm Fest.. it seems all “comunidades” will organise their own contests and send their winners to a potential national final? eg Balearic Islands /Valencia/Catalonia /Madrid etc and thus the possibilty again for official languages outside of “castellano” mainstream stuff…presenter will be “a national treasure” (Mónica Naranjo) and “jury director” Nacho Cano?
    eg Balearic Islands (in Mallorquí language)

  5. off topic..when I was growing up in the 70s/80s, Eurovision for me also meant “jeux sans frontieres”and the translations of it, except British one “It’s a Knockout” (then famous Peter Gabriel song came out about “Games without frontiers”)

    and remember that famous theme tune:!

  6. Regarding results I am not quite sure I will be able to follow closely but will check in at some point.

  7. Just sent my guesses for Top10 and HoDs. I’ve voted for six entries of my predicted Top10.
    If I guessed correctly, then I’ll give my top marks to one of the Greeks :-)…

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